Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.215169 0.250233 0.291164 0.342967 0.407493 0.486179 0.590895
2025-02-23 0.163348 0.207224 0.264872 0.348257 0.469506 0.645782 0.934605
2025-03-02 0.132802 0.178992 0.245034 0.350692 0.524619 0.818800 1.405199
2025-03-09 0.112044 0.157923 0.227840 0.348901 0.569631 0.995895 2.020117
2025-03-16 0.096295 0.140437 0.211114 0.341485 0.600304 1.161822 2.773288
2025-03-23 0.087514 0.131850 0.206307 0.352562 0.669535 1.449780 4.211047
2025-03-30 0.077898 0.120172 0.193706 0.345162 0.696643 1.656048 5.749014
2025-04-06 0.071759 0.113366 0.188367 0.350638 0.755778 1.997297 8.654519
2025-04-13 0.065476 0.105384 0.179383 0.345962 0.787852 2.285028 12.271887
2025-04-20 0.061331 0.100678 0.175867 0.352584 0.854213 2.765524 19.700005
2025-04-27 0.058064 0.097152 0.174076 0.362801 0.937003 3.420161 34.626989
2025-05-04 0.055010 0.093640 0.171722 0.371053 1.018951 4.200773 64.492856
2025-05-11 0.052370 0.090704 0.170326 0.382114 1.120662 5.306317 144.501208
2025-05-18 0.049627 0.087269 0.167354 0.388381 1.210915 6.575627 368.033047
2025-05-25 0.046948 0.083673 0.163490 0.391240 1.291393 8.030488 1173.009626
2025-06-01 0.044259 0.079777 0.158381 0.389188 1.351108 9.539097 5226.439266
2025-06-08 0.041488 0.075445 0.151671 0.380642 1.376795 10.834912 39957.379998
2025-06-15 0.040094 0.073922 0.151573 0.393417 1.521831 14.467199 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037782 0.070191 0.145507 0.384882 1.547484 16.517638 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036353 0.068282 0.143830 0.391198 1.667202 21.422457 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034536 0.065351 0.139156 0.385805 1.712894 25.293560 NaN
2025-07-13 0.033393 0.063852 0.138070 0.393443 1.854788 34.082541 NaN
2025-07-20 0.032480 0.062796 0.138039 0.405240 2.042612 49.066330 NaN